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I didn’t update last weekend, mostly due to the pressing nature of being lazy, so here’s a bumper update of the last fortnight.

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
Ireland vs Wales
Ireland by 7 Ireland by 9 Ireland by 15 Ireland by 7 Ireland by 8
Scotland vs England
England by 3 England by 10 England by 11 England by 6 England by 6
France vs Italy
France by 18 France by 18 France by 14 France by 18 France by 23
France vs England
France by 14 France by 10 France by 9 England by 12 France by 5
Ireland vs Scotland
Ireland by 14 Ireland by 15 Ireland by 15 Ireland by 9 Ireland by 15
Wales vs Italy
Wales by 14 Wales by 12 Wales by 12 Wales by 12 Wales by 12

For round four everyone played their joker on France apart from Alex (good call, Alex). For round 5, Dec and Dave picked Ireland, Alex and Ant picked France and I picked Wales. No one took a mulligan on round four so mulligans were automatically assigned for Dave and Ant on round 5 to save them most points leading to a final leaderboard of:

Position Score
1 +78 Me
2 7 Dave
3 -9 Ant
4 -34 Alex
5 -58 Dec

So, another glorious victory for me. All-in-all I think the jokers badly messed the table aorund this time, the points swings on them were huge, we’ll need to tweak those rules before next time…

Some statistical analysis to follow. Possibly.

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For the first time we’ve had the joker come into useful play and it’s made a significant difference to the scores. That plus a cunning punt on Italy over Scotland has led to the following table…

Position Score
1 +40 Me*
2 -1 Alex*
3 -21 Ant
4 -29 Dave
5 -63 Dec*

* Mulligan used

Well the predictions have started fragmenting a bit this week. No one has any love for Wales and their golf-kart stealing inebriation, but the other games are split predictions as are the jokers.

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
Wales vs France
France by 12 France by 12 France by 11 France by 15 France by 5
England vs Ireland
Ireland by 5 Ireland by 16 England by 4 Ireland by 9 England by 2
Italy vs Scotland
Italy by 4 Scotland by 10 Scotland by 10 Scotland by 10 Scotland by 5

Dec and I have both used our mulligans, jokers this week are:

Alex, Ant and I – France
Dec and Dave – Scotland

A bit of a shocker this week, and my first wrong prediction in terms of who was gonna win. Ireland were comprehensively spanked. Still, I imagine they can’t feel as bad as the Scots do.

Anyway, the terrible Ireland result has prompted both Dec and I to take our Mulligans. As a result, the standings are:

Position Score
1 -8 Me*
2 -18 Dave
3 -23 Alex
4 -33 Ant
5 -41 Dec*

* Mulligan used

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
France vs Ireland Ireland by 2 Ireland by 5 France by 7 France by 5 France by 5
Wales vs Scotland
Wales by 15 Wales by14 Wales by 8 Wales by 12 Wales by 5
Itlay vs England
England by 24 England by 22 England by 29 England by 19 England by 22

Everyone picked England as their joker, everyone has a mulligan available.

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
Ireland vs Italy Ireland by 20 Ireland by 26 Ireland by 19 Ireland by 24 Ireland by 17
England vs Wales England by 10 Wales by 7 England by 5 England by 2 England by 6
Scotland vs France France by 8 France by 18 France by 12 France by 18 France by 6

Everyone picked Ireland as their joker, everyone has a mulligan available.

Current status is:

Position Score
1 -3 Me
2 -19 Dave
3 -40 Alex
4 -55 Dec
5 -75 Pease

Current status is:

Position Score
1 -1 Dave
2= -9 Me Dec
4 -15 Alex
5 -26 Pease

Pease seems to think that England will win by 12 at Croke Park. He is a nutter.

Predictions for this weekend are:

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
France vs Wales France by 5 Wales by 9 Wales by 6 Wales by 8 Wales by 3
Scotland vs Italy Scotland by 10 Italy by 6 Scotland by 8 Italy by 5 Scotland by 8
Ireland vs England Ireland by 10 Ireland by 12 England by 4 England by 12 Ireland by 9

An improved performance by England, but they still lost. A similar thing could be said for Declan this week. Current leaderboard:

Position Score
1 -1 Dave
2= -9 Me Dec
4 -15 Alex
5 -26 Pease

With the Six Nations beginning tomorrow, it seems an appropriate time to lose some money to Declan. Or someone else. But most likely Declan. Anyway, the rules of the game are simple:

Each person puts £10 in.
Winner takes all.

For each game pick a winner and by how many points.

+5 for the right winner
+10 for the exact right points difference
-1 for each points difference out

e.g. England vs Italy guess England win by 10 points.

If England win 23-13 – +15
If England win 23-12 – +4
If England win 23-15 – +4
If England lose 23-13 – -20

Winner is the one with the most overall points at the end.

Predictions for the first round are below:

Me Dec Alex Pease Dave
England vs Italy England by 10 England by 15 England by 17 England by 15 England by 13
Ireland vs France Ireland by 7 France by 8 France by 5 France by 5 Ireland by 3
Scotland vs Wales Wales by 10 Wales by 12 Wales by 8 Wales by 10 Wales by 15

What Has Gone Before

September 2018
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i miss your disposition and your strength to see the best in everyone
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